TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team41c7,737$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.991,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked BetBoom Team43c6,530$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.371729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nigma Galaxy59c5,219$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.6229243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Nigma Galaxy54c4,988$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.372138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Nigma Galaxy36c4,397$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.774141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked BetBoom Team64c4,311$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.722842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed BetBoom Team51c2,991$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.5953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team44c2,318$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.6247660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BetBoom Team42c1,851$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.2930357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Nigma Galaxy57c1,606$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.9912155.4%67 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nigma Galaxy53c1,257$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.937424.3%18 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Nigma Galaxy61c1,100$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6714930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nigma Galaxy58c887.93$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5158146.9%38 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy41c882.27$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2535850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked BetBoom Team41c804$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.369340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy59c708.9$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2561449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Nigma Galaxy60c565.37$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.69440.4%38 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Nigma Galaxy57c564.44$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.732050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed BetBoom Team43c563.13$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1314643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29543738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Nigma Galaxy57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Nigma Galaxy57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Nigma Galaxy57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed Nigma Galaxy57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Nigma Galaxy56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked BetBoom Team42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.199942.4%42 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked BetBoom Team42c465$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.716550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda24…737abacked BetBoom Team42c447.62$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.623441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team54c416.6$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4667555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BetBoom Team41c406.74$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.747060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team41c405.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe341…354dbacked Nigma Galaxy59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Nigma Galaxy61c325.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Nigma Galaxy61c311.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0454659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nigma Galaxy58c300.72$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6233445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked BetBoom Team41c275$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8810643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed BetBoom Team42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14523746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nigma Galaxy58c220.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.379052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Nigma Galaxy58c201.79$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0423149.4%114 W · 117 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Nigma Galaxy57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Nigma Galaxy58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11624345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed BetBoom Team42c195.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.247549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked BetBoom Team42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.575255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed BetBoom Team42c176.08$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1729352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Nigma Galaxy58c173.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2615147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Nigma Galaxy59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a91…3eb7backed Nigma Galaxy59c168.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996866.2%45 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed BetBoom Team42c159.76$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.667847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed BetBoom Team63c158.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9732154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed BetBoom Team42c141.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4522260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Nigma Galaxy47c131.04$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1414641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed BetBoom Team43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9118550.8%94 W · 91 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Nigma Galaxy59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed Nigma Galaxy60c122.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2116552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked BetBoom Team41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.984957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Nigma Galaxy58c118.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0913540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Nigma Galaxy56c111.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.653647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Nigma Galaxy58c105$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.97147.9%34 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Nigma Galaxy59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5916256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nigma Galaxy61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9952950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Nigma Galaxy60c83.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Nigma Galaxy60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde1d…dfaabacked Nigma Galaxy60c78.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Nigma Galaxy61c77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.972445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy58c76.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6273743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x683c…0308backed BetBoom Team42c69.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+33.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc17e…1813backed Nigma Galaxy60c67.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Nigma Galaxy60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914058.6%82 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c3…ed81backed BetBoom Team41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Nigma Galaxy56c54.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9230054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2291…bd56backed Nigma Galaxy61c53.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Nigma Galaxy58c52.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2912556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb04d…2b19backed Nigma Galaxy59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Nigma Galaxy58c49.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6625047.6%119 W · 131 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed BetBoom Team42c47.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4825266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed BetBoom Team43c46.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7115945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Nigma Galaxy60c46.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked BetBoom Team63c42.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6516553.3%88 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b8…9240backed Nigma Galaxy60c41.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked BetBoom Team39c36.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.233167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed BetBoom Team42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7129656.1%166 W · 130 L+18.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nigma Galaxy59c35.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7132548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BetBoom Team37c34.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5266545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2244…b9c2backed Nigma Galaxy60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Nigma Galaxy60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014566.2%96 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Nigma Galaxy54c30.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.548651.2%44 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked BetBoom Team41c30.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.66245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed BetBoom Team39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.397142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked BetBoom Team41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7a…ad96backed BetBoom Team42c28.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9da…8541backed Nigma Galaxy39c28.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45b…a0edbacked BetBoom Team44c26.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7e…0a4fbacked Nigma Galaxy59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed Nigma Galaxy61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512260.7%74 W · 48 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e95…5b64backed BetBoom Team42c24.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…2318backed BetBoom Team41c24.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.232466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed BetBoom Team50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked Nigma Galaxy59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.