TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5c2…5b5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 62 out of 100; worst Earnings at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Leandro Paredes: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.2
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.3
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.02
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$264.9
Norway to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.98
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$269.98
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$211.82
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.99
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.9
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$360
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+135.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+458%+$205.2
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$87.03
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$140.28
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$177.14
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Bbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.68
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.78
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$47.6
Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+155.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.47
RipCars FDV above $4M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloobacked Fernanfloo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.