UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8cddf878505c1817f552885445afaf707c2499b2b9834658b344bb42ce6e3e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Tsuruyaof Rei Tsuruya, Luis Gurule
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Rei Tsuruya | 77c | 50,066$38,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,515.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 49,891$11,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,474.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luis Gurule | 4c | 7,496$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Rei Tsuruya | 77c | 5,673$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Luis Gurule | 14c | 2,860$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Rei Tsuruya | 75c | 2,299$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.85 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Luis Gurule | 22c | 2,085$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.61 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Rei Tsuruya | 73c | 1,701$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.15 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 1,413$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Luis Gurule | 26c | 1,146$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Luis Gurule | 22c | 1,070$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…6ff9backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Luis Gurule | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…6d6dbacked Luis Gurule | 26c | 946.15$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Luis Gurule | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Luis Gurule | 23c | 878.26$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 847.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Luis Gurule | 23c | 769.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Luis Gurule | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Rei Tsuruya | 69c | 690.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Rei Tsuruya | 70c | 623.21$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Rei Tsuruya | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rei Tsuruya | 74c | 572.74$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…916fbacked Luis Gurule | 31c | 420.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rei Tsuruya | 74c | 381$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Rei Tsuruya | 72c | 375.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…cf71backed Luis Gurule | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Luis Gurule | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Luis Gurule | 29c | 347$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Luis Gurule | 31c | 336.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Luis Gurule | 28c | 332.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Luis Gurule | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Luis Gurule | 16c | 294.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Rei Tsuruya | 69c | 280.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 257.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Luis Gurule | 30c | 220$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 217.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Luis Gurule | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rei Tsuruya | 68c | 198.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Luis Gurule | 26c | 193.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Luis Gurule | 32c | 187.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 182.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…e7cabacked Rei Tsuruya | 68c | 179.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 110 | 78.2%86 W · 24 L | +15.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Luis Gurule | 28c | 162.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 147.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Luis Gurule | 28c | 146.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Rei Tsuruya | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Rei Tsuruya | 73c | 136.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Rei Tsuruya | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…3209backed Luis Gurule | 27c | 134.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…80cebacked Luis Gurule | 8c | 133.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 129.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 126.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Luis Gurule | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…5899backed Luis Gurule | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Luis Gurule | 30c | 115.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Luis Gurule | 22c | 114.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Luis Gurule | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rei Tsuruya | 70c | 107.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rei Tsuruya | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Luis Gurule | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Luis Gurule | 27c | 81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Luis Gurule | 17c | 74.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Rei Tsuruya | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Luis Gurule | 25c | 69.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…3608backed Rei Tsuruya | 69c | 65.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Luis Gurule | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Rei Tsuruya | 67c | 55.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Luis Gurule | 27c | 55.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Rei Tsuruya | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 50.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 50.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Luis Gurule | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Luis Gurule | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…6c37backed Luis Gurule | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…118cbacked Luis Gurule | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…8673backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…a2bfbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…a4e2backed Rei Tsuruya | 74c | 31.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Rei Tsuruya | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 24.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…75c2backed Rei Tsuruya | 68c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…3363backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…1403backed Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…600ebacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Rei Tsuruya | 78c | 16.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.