South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a33212a1361dbc663ae9b1d18ec2fa3d668cd42f826c5b1afa02a20118f7ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebolof SE Palmeiras, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 49c | 20,595$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,592.41 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 51c | 11,687$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked SE Palmeiras | 44c | 5,663$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SE Palmeiras | 42c | 4,287$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.9 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SE Palmeiras | 49c | 3,647$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed SE Palmeiras | 50c | 2,984$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.4 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked SE Palmeiras | 47c | 2,066$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.92 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed SE Palmeiras | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 1,990$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.9 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked SE Palmeiras | 50c | 1,672$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.55 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked SE Palmeiras | 50c | 1,500$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked SE Palmeiras | 50c | 1,500$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SE Palmeiras | 36c | 1,432$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed SE Palmeiras | 50c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.1 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SE Palmeiras | 49c | 1,182$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 53c | 1,151$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked SE Palmeiras | 45c | 1,118$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 823.53$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 55c | 764.34$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.43 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 51c | 753.77$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.35 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 53c | 735.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked SE Palmeiras | 11c | 624.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 73c | 507.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d18backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…e44dbacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…2000backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…c0cbbacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…ef45backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…473dbacked SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…e615backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…98b6backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…dc96backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked SE Palmeiras | 52c | 470$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.01 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked SE Palmeiras | 44c | 445.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 56c | 393.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 338.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 57c | 306.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SE Palmeiras | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 298.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 265$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SE Palmeiras | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed SE Palmeiras | 13c | 228$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked SE Palmeiras | 46c | 205$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed SE Palmeiras | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…9648backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 185.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 184.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked SE Palmeiras | 51c | 175.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SE Palmeiras | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 61c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked SE Palmeiras | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 112.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…4aafbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 45c | 110.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SE Palmeiras | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed SE Palmeiras | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SE Palmeiras | 54c | 88.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed SE Palmeiras | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed SE Palmeiras | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked SE Palmeiras | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed SE Palmeiras | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 54.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SE Palmeiras | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SE Palmeiras | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 44.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SE Palmeiras | 49c | 43.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 42.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed SE Palmeiras | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 40.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed SE Palmeiras | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed SE Palmeiras | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…9c33backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 53c | 29.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SE Palmeiras | 52c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed SE Palmeiras | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SE Palmeiras | 48c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 74c | 24.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…766abacked SE Palmeiras | 50c | 23.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed SE Palmeiras | 49c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed SE Palmeiras | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked SE Palmeiras | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | 74c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.