South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9aa44edf1a5275534497900414750856acacec25240591077890a1ba66c475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 38c | 2,852$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,474$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.95 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 21c | 2,463$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.83 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +837.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 1c | 2,149$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.5 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 37c | 2,064$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.27 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 61c | 1,896$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.78 | 846 | 34.6%293 W · 553 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Under | 74c | 1,750$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 46c | 1,464$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.47 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 46c | 1,238$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.16 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 51c | 955.08$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 605 | 39.7%240 W · 365 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 30c | 918.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.69 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Over | 10c | 889.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 815.15$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.33 | 1,341 | 42.8%574 W · 767 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 23c | 730.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.75 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 70c | 568.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 38c | 568$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 19c | 529.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 529.74$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 61c | 505.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 25c | 480.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.47 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 439.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 1,551 | 45.9%712 W · 839 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 77c | 417$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 392.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 1,566 | 45%704 W · 862 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Over | 10c | 391.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 50c | 381.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 46c | 353.54$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 39c | 350$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 349.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…93cbbacked Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 56c | 311.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 78c | 257.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 255 | 66.7%170 W · 85 L | +28.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 45c | 253.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 228.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 1,331 | 50%665 W · 666 L | -15.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 227.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 2,666 | 39.1%1,042 W · 1,624 L | -35.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 224.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 2,185 | 43.5%950 W · 1,235 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 44c | 222.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 215.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 2,434 | 34.7%844 W · 1,590 L | -28.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 62c | 211.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 79c | 203.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 70c | 200.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Over | 22c | 174.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Over | 12c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 40c | 156.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 47c | 152.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 149.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 1,288 | 56.1%723 W · 565 L | +74.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Under | 11c | 145.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 131.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +23.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 76c | 131.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +22.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 44c | 130.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 63c | 115.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 14c | 111.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 61c | 101.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae58backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Under | 54c | 98.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 24c | 98.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 64c | 93.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 35c | 90.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 42c | 86.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…437fbacked Under | 20c | 85.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 36c | 79.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 44c | 68.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 20c | 58.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 28c | 54.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 52.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 3,461 | 51.4%1,779 W · 1,682 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 51.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 51.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1,063 | 49%521 W · 542 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 68c | 45.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Under | 60c | 43.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 76c | 39.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 55c | 38.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 943 | 46.1%435 W · 508 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 80c | 35.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 45c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Over | 42c | 25.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under | 70c | 23.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 0.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.