MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a0d07d4ebebc7ba4cc720d5c0ab6da02de88ff8edd203e73ed2e550f3c81dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $958,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $957,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 716,595$335,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335,237.79 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 319,500$169,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,165 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 127,700$67,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,018.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 51,000$27,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,459.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 46,296$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,296.3 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 32,550$17,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,973 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 22,222$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.22 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 21,400$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.52 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 18,254$9,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 16,497$10,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 15,904$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 13,555$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.3 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 12,500$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 10,221$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.81 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 8,539$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.3 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 8,412$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 7,317$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 7,175$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,345$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.27 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 5,254$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 4,223$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.58 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 4,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 3,550$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,297$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.43 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 3,226$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,608$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,509$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 2,481$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,450$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.79 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,292$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.19 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,290$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.41 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 2,192$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.59 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.94 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,079$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.13 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.94 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,801$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.45 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,777$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.53 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,403$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 1,349$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,179$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 33c | 1,115$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,083$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.72 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 1,065$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,061$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 987$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 884.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 875$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 849.05$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.05 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 781.97$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.53 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 781.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 772.82$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 736$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…a48dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 682.41$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 673.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 670.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 664.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 663.67$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 659.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 605.77$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.71 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 599.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 582.26$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 580.28$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.73 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 577.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Boston Red Sox | 3c | 549.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 535.88$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 510.15$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 507$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.29 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 468.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 468$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 466$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.36 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 460$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 455.17$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 16c | 393.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 366.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 357.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 354.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.