MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x342640e9fb8981fc3655086bb37b7d3a5f51f1c8bcb28eeb33cbe59715bbf6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 13,639$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.1 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 13,064$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.26 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 12,082$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.48 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 8,672$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 20c | 2,640$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.02 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 2,193$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,904$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.58 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 1,649$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.09 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 1,440$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.22 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 80c | 1,415$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 45c | 1,352$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.49 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 54c | 1,340$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.23 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 54c | 1,082$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.03 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 966$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 21c | 920.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 871$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 842.96$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 540.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 54c | 470$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 454.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 59c | 405.36$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 48c | 403.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 67c | 338.33$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 54c | 152.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 56c | 143.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 32c | 136.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 33c | 128.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 26c | 127.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 124.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 80c | 124$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…57ebbacked Under | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 48c | 101.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 91.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 48c | 91.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 90.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 48c | 76.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 48c | 74.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 72.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 48c | 71.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 33c | 71.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 53c | 57.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Over | 37c | 48.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 45.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 58c | 44.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Over | 32c | 38.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…3e0ebacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Over | 80c | 23.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 77c | 13.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.