TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab6b…f517

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+256.7%+$102.32
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$30.87
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$10.28
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$25.11
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$14.09
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.71
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$48.02
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$16.99
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$52.37
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.71
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$23.13
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$21.8
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$63.01
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$16.04
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+291.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+105%+$26.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+375.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+375.4%+$179.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.