Fifa International · resolved market
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0580e1fd4006ae96551e721a5ddfca5504e3184b76255d53918be3991f2a8836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 2,282$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 2,050$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…de94backed Over | 42c | 1,170$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 831.63$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 720.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.49 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 665.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 506.9$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 38c | 409.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 41c | 242.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 194.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 156.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 120.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 87.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Over | 17c | 86.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 81.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 76.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 68.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 52c | 66.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 63c | 64.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 63.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 60c | 50.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 48.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 58c | 42.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 59c | 37.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 41c | 37.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 31.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Under | 60c | 28.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 56c | 27.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 27.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 60c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 59c | 17.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5this page
- Andorra vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.