Fifa International · resolved market
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x921b5d28a5865f8e5b1c2c6dfec19f95a7591dedb0e0ec308368b8abbde8f94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…de94backed Over | 67c | 555$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 45c | 371.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…c696backed Over | 68c | 265.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 231.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 32c | 227.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 54c | 204.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 186.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 43c | 185.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 176.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 119.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 34c | 89.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 39c | 79.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…21e5backed Over | 64c | 78.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 78.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 67c | 44.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 33c | 39.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 39.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 68c | 36.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 37c | 36.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67e…5d86backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 61c | 21.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 68c | 16.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 73c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 80c | 12.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5this page
- Andorra vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.