Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755f8b53546623c4f418ace375bd40a4e6d90b5606d335c38435596cc8c0082c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andorraof Iraq, Andorra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Iraq | 41c | 6,012$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andorra | 63c | 1,757$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Iraq | 35c | 1,646$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Andorra | 57c | 1,363$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.67 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Andorra | 57c | 1,061$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.91 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Andorra | 59c | 884.26$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Iraq | 45c | 799.05$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.17 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Andorra | 64c | 793.13$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Andorra | 58c | 444.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Andorra | 58c | 442.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Iraq | 42c | 413.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andorra | 56c | 348.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Iraq | 43c | 315.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Andorra | 57c | 245.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andorra | 65c | 203$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Andorra | 57c | 180.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Iraq | 40c | 179.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Iraq | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Iraq | 48c | 160.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Andorra | 62c | 144.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Iraq | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Andorra | 55c | 87.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…0e4cbacked Andorra | 60c | 86.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Iraq | 39c | 77.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Andorra | 58c | 67.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Andorra | 58c | 66.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed Andorra | 56c | 64.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Andorra | 57c | 62.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Andorra | 59c | 62.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed Andorra | 57c | 61.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Andorra | 60c | 56.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Andorra | 57c | 55.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Andorra | 60c | 51.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…a003backed Andorra | 57c | 49.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Iraq | 44c | 44.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Andorra | 58c | 44.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Iraq | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Andorra | 60c | 43.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Andorra | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Andorra | 58c | 37.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…a41fbacked Iraq | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andorra | 55c | 27.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Andorra | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Andorra | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Andorra | 61c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Andorra | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)this page
- Andorra vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.