TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes57c81,769$46,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,160.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c16,289$7,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,004.0897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No38c15,149$5,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,737.761,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No43c10,734$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.5119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No18c10,497$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.451,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No43c9,047$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8901631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No43c5,814$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c5,679$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.3598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No43c4,523$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes62c2,819$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.521080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No43c2,246$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.8218655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c1,989$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.8871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No40c1,800$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.13351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No43c1,602$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.9320043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed No55c1,278$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c1,122$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c1,065$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.7670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes73c1,041$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.048560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No43c976.65$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.961838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No68c957.48$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.8227058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No42c911.53$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.5513553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0710950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c713.36$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes50c690$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.237974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c667.83$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.567549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2159848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No50c491.37$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6329370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No48c476.49$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3710319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes50c474.61$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.352639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes60c416$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes71c378.82$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.55131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No49c349$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No33c346.81$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6710249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes51c336.23$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6712343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c331$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.753,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No37c300.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked No46c283.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes71c281.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.65540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes75c270.21$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6916657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No43c268.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.643452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed No72c248.14$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No19c246.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c245$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No60c228$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes65c217$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c214.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No43c195.41$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No43c190.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c189$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.271,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No56c176.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes60c162$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No12c158.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes57c147.12$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2633346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.158241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e67…a1f3backed No41c140.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00b…9aa0backed Yes60c140.36$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ae…035cbacked Yes60c139.66$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.884924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes72c137.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.643135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c136.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfbf…f1e4backed No41c135.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…d666backed No41c132.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No50c131.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.711752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…a6aebacked Yes60c128.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1b…4c1fbacked No41c128.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c127.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94b…bd62backed Yes60c126.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No41c122.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0712247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No17c122$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.454663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…8bb9backed No41c121.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No29c119$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c81…5e7dbacked No41c115.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No36c112.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8910644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x611f…c3febacked Yes60c112.56$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b1…29abbacked Yes60c112.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes52c111.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No43c109.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No43c107.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No37c102.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No17c101.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…ca05backed Yes60c101.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd30f…eea0backed No33c100.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.841020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes56c99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe547…654cbacked Yes60c95.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6b…280bbacked No48c94.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc489…72ffbacked No41c93.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f4…6a6abacked Yes60c87.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed No43c84.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.723438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes72c82.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.675664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.