TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c3,856$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.131,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c2,459$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.9592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c2,362$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.331,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c2,150$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.991,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c2,066$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes24c2,019$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.561963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No78c1,835$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.715676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes29c1,607$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6718967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No72c1,468$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.65068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes43c1,135$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No76c1,014$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3317258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c902.28$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes48c852.92$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6413952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No80c725.48$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c722.22$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes24c665.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8450%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes35c571.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.889555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes12c517.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No80c437.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.543351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes7c430.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.142065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes41c414.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1731446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes30c389.46$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.685131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes37c388.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.842458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes9c340$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.624326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No80c330.33$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes34c317$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes27c309.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.187974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No70c292.28$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No80c280.17$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3117753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes21c228.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes27c220.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4910319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c206.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes45c198.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No47c188.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes32c184.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c183.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c162.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No76c156$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c133.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.881,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes18c122$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.554924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No74c117.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…6253backed Yes9c112$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c107.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes37c105.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes34c101.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes21c92.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3112343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes46c87.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No79c87.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No79c86.44$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2126150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c84.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No77c77.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.927758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes20c76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No73c72.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3610249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes46c67.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes23c65.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f9e…c96bbacked No77c65.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c60.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No59c58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9616159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8583…ca05backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c47.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d5…41b8backed No55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9610960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.163,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No64c31.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1112571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked No80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.974456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No58c24.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb91…6959backed No58c22.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6b…280bbacked No56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked No48c20.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.842661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed No76c16.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No75c16.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.225652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No78c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.187456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.