La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb877bc9f86cdad8765ea2562b5d3cf23ee2ef0d8ff5c0983105faee554041e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 30c | 5,350$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.14 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 2,513$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.74 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 64c | 1,153$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,057$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 842.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 70c | 253.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 69c | 227.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 221$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 48c | 207.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 52c | 194.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 189.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 71c | 177.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 115.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 30c | 114.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 70c | 100.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 70c | 85.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 69c | 77.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 70c | 72.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 70c | 71.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 46c | 52.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 70c | 50.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 70c | 48.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 75c | 45.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 44.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 43.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Over | 31c | 41.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 70c | 40.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 57c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 44c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 23.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 70c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Under | 69c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5this page
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 0.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Real Sporting de Gijón won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.