La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd374dd4a93e32a09cc155afc6f0518b69deb662550c0ffb642b4cf81dd5afe3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,290$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,093$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.3 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 49c | 1,028$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.17 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 826.15$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.08 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 801.04$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 49c | 799.8$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 54c | 722.81$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 54c | 582.26$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 37c | 500.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 43c | 465.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 13c | 425.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Over | 50c | 415$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 10c | 414.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 68c | 354.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Over | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 9c | 258.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 53c | 247.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 46c | 223.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 51c | 186.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 168.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 151.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 150.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +312.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 33c | 148.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 46c | 128.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 127.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 127.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 104.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Under | 17c | 103.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c473backed Under | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 18c | 84.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 74.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 50c | 60.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 48c | 57.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 47c | 42.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 51c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 33.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 46c | 30.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 30.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 54c | 28.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 47c | 27.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5this page
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 0.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Real Sporting de Gijón won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.