Mls · resolved market
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04bf0dc44e8a7afc2551db19ceda70b010043ba4e449b629988f8408cdb9e81d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 49c | 52,322$25,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,886.6 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 52c | 39,667$20,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,666.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 13,644$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007.56 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 10,694$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.36 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 10,414$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,862.24 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 9,336$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.39 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 7,742$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 6,685$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.2 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 6,062$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.15 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 48c | 5,539$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 5,355$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.41 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 5,155$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.68 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 2,460$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 51c | 1,910$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 1,700$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.97 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 51c | 1,635$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 49c | 1,583$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 53c | 1,505$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.98 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 48c | 995.12$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.12 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 63c | 920.63$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 907.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.04 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 885.67$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.58 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bb…4d1ebacked Under | 50c | 870.96$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 59c | 805.18$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 4c | 699.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 62c | 675$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 627.03$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 60c | 598.89$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 51c | 592$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 583$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 478$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 62c | 470.83$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 62c | 462.6$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 62c | 462.6$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 421.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 421.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 410.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 52c | 408.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 63c | 406.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.23 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 398.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 55c | 361.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 39c | 327.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 47c | 322.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 52c | 266.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 255$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 63c | 249.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 228.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…b1ffbacked Over | 64c | 217.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +121%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 55c | 189$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 38c | 173.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 51c | 166.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…0753backed Over | 48c | 165.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 150.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 50c | 147.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 41c | 147.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 30c | 145.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 48c | 142.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 126.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.