Mls · resolved market
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbfa570dff6ecf617d943f2c9c5647d1a1fc3968fa98cb8efb7ecfd1ebfa4281
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 2,379$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.08 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.14 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 1,930$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 71c | 1,071$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 68c | 480.17$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 76c | 267.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 31c | 245.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 69c | 223.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 71c | 215.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 182.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 29c | 165.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 29c | 154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 153.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 68c | 138.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked No | 31c | 80.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 78.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 29c | 70.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 26c | 58.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 71c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.