WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cafb6a91b8768453ed11e0a3aede963e70889aea225deb1a307f4221ba91611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Phoenix Mercury, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 36,341$12,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,695.34 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed New York Liberty | 65c | 18,888$12,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.95 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 8,027$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.7 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Liberty | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Liberty | 67c | 7,465$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.31 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 6,630$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.44 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 6,131$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.87 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 5,741$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 76c | 3,693$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.84 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty | 65c | 3,416$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.14 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…4b3cbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 3,299$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Liberty | 67c | 2,645$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.24 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 2,623$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Liberty | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 1,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed New York Liberty | 67c | 1,684$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.11 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 1,663$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed New York Liberty | 67c | 1,642$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed New York Liberty | 66c | 1,343$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.73 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…15f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 1,249$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Liberty | 74c | 1,165$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.99 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 67c | 1,144$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 1,089$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 196 | 28.6%56 W · 140 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 1,020$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed New York Liberty | 66c | 986.59$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed New York Liberty | 79c | 929.06$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 923.75$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 889.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 876.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed New York Liberty | 79c | 871.41$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15a…7186backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 820.02$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 67c | 746.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked New York Liberty | 65c | 676.76$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed New York Liberty | 65c | 659.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 68c | 561.4$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 556.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty | 67c | 524.7$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked New York Liberty | 72c | 503.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Liberty | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 131 | 24.4%32 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 461.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 443.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 369.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed New York Liberty | 75c | 338.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 288.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Liberty | 78c | 265.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New York Liberty | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 229.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed New York Liberty | 67c | 211.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 208.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 208.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 202.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 201.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 198.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 194.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 183.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…4c7bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 175.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 160.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 160.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed New York Liberty | 63c | 159.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 157.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked New York Liberty | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed New York Liberty | 70c | 149.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed New York Liberty | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed New York Liberty | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 147.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty | 77c | 134.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 133.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 131.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed New York Liberty | 78c | 128.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 119.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 192 | 31.8%61 W · 131 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 75c | 116$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 110.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 99.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked New York Liberty | 55c | 91.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…df25backed New York Liberty | 77c | 90.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 90.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0696…d2acbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 89.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 89.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 86.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed New York Liberty | 67c | 85.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 84.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertythis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 170.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.