WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3e6b7f6cf1207de5213035a457aba3a785646775590a7fec992563780a2586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 9,179$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.6 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 9,085$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.49 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 4,933$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New York Liberty | 47c | 4,254$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.47 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 3,648$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.14 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed New York Liberty | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.12 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 48c | 1,703$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.87 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,026$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.79 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 946.33$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.26 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 48c | 925.01$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.21 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Liberty | 47c | 609.69$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 512.24$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 416.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked New York Liberty | 47c | 302.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 47c | 300.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New York Liberty | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 226$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 156$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 154.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…5ef8backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 120.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 119.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 111.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 109.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed New York Liberty | 45c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 99.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed New York Liberty | 46c | 85.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed New York Liberty | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 57.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 56.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed New York Liberty | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Liberty | 53c | 49.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed New York Liberty | 46c | 47.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Liberty | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Liberty | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed New York Liberty | 44c | 34.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed New York Liberty | 45c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 33.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed New York Liberty | 57c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed New York Liberty | 47c | 28.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 27.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed New York Liberty | 47c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed New York Liberty | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 170.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.