NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae43170ba71a31b7b0c8de048d60958b2b5823df62c5b79ac089a62160057f10

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved: May 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,107,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,148,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,107,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder	48c	520,834$250,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250,000.42	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Spurs	52c	407,386$211,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195,545.38	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	52c	160,412$82,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,577.46	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	49c	148,547$72,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,191.48	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spurs	52c	56,245$29,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,997.6	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Thunder	48c	56,064$27,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,181.12	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder	48c	55,554$26,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,666.09	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs	51c	55,467$28,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,178.71	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder	49c	50,777$24,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,880.67	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,199.98	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs	51c	21,000$10,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,290	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spurs	52c	21,000$10,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,080	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Thunder	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,600	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Spurs	52c	19,992$10,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,596.16	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs	52c	16,000$8,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,680	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs	52c	15,184$7,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,288.33	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs	53c	13,700$7,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,433	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Thunder	48c	10,923$5,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,243.15	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615.38	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Spurs	52c	8,300$4,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,984	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder	48c	7,967$3,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,824.04	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Spurs	52c	6,892$3,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,307.82	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Spurs	51c	6,767$3,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,315.96	23	82.6%19 W · 4 L	+8.7wins	+0.38per pick	45cpaid	+97%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Thunder	49c	6,023$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.16	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs	51c	6,000$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,960	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder	47c	5,720$2,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,662.66	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs	52c	5,319$2,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,553.05	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs	52c	5,293$2,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,540.39	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c05…8cd5backed Spurs	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	63cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs	52c	4,827$2,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,319.93	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs	52c	4,185$2,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,017.45	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Spurs	52c	4,087$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.73	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Spurs	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.1wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Spurs	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.15	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs	59c	3,813$2,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.17	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thunder	49c	3,698$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830.02	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder	49c	3,600$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,753.06	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Spurs	51c	3,415$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.35	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Thunder	8c	3,394$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.47	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1dc…73ffbacked Spurs	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.18	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Thunder	49c	2,836$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.86	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f0…4209backed Spurs	50c	2,812$1,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs	52c	2,692$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.31	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Spurs	52c	2,587$1,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.76	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	49c	2,500$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.99	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	52c	2,400$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.02	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spurs	52c	2,400$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	48c	2,221$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.07	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Spurs	51c	2,176$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.47	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs	51c	2,000$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Thunder	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Thunder	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.99	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spurs	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked Spurs	51c	1,950$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Spurs	51c	1,925$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.28	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Spurs	52c	1,921$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.94	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.79	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Thunder	46c	1,857$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.24	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Spurs	51c	1,730$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.7	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Thunder	50c	1,687$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.59	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Spurs	51c	1,668$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.1	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Thunder	49c	1,619$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.19	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs	51c	1,569$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.63	165	55.8%92 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Spurs	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+217.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Spurs	52c	1,453$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.63	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Spurs	51c	1,357$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.72	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Spurs	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.35	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Spurs	52c	1,346$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.15	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Spurs	52c	1,346$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.15	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Thunder	49c	1,271$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.92	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…cec4backed Spurs	51c	1,268$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Thunder	38c	1,247$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.95	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs	52c	1,223$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.04	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	48c	1,200$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Spurs	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e1…d10dbacked Spurs	52c	1,190$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.24	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+5.1wins	+0.34per pick	39cpaid	+102%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Spurs	52c	1,176$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.71	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Spurs	76c	1,111$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.15	108	61.1%66 W · 42 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Spurs	52c	1,066$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.48	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs	62c	1,065$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.84	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Spurs	52c	1,058$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.69	139	49.6%69 W · 70 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Thunder	49c	1,038$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.8	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Spurs	74c	1,025$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.58	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Thunder	49c	1,010$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Thunder	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Spurs	61c	999.85$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.94	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder	40c	998.71$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.7	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Spurs	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Spurs	52c	965.4$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.39	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Spurs	52c	951.92$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.92	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ee5…83d6backed Spurs	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Spurs	53c	933.96$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.96	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Spurs	53c	929.34$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.79	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event