NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x494dde45814148c66db63bffea65faa16671a9c1e7f9c7fa8d5c074b0392632d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Thunder | 11c | 16,311$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.23 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 40c | 15,105$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,122.79 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 7,399$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 23c | 7,282$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.21 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…a3febacked Thunder | 76c | 7,000$5,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,322.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 6c | 6,382$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.66 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 54c | 6,065$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.8 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 25c | 5,676$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.67 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 62c | 5,353$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.62 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Spurs | 24c | 4,050$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 75c | 3,915$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.31 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Thunder | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 15c | 3,396$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.71 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 50c | 2,811$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.07 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 51c | 2,793$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.05 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 60c | 2,613$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.52 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 46c | 2,609$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder | 48c | 2,600$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Thunder | 65c | 2,597$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.82 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 60c | 2,455$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Thunder | 37c | 2,129$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.45 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 30c | 2,117$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Spurs | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Thunder | 18c | 1,958$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.46 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 29c | 1,953$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.98 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Thunder | 10c | 1,847$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Thunder | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 71c | 1,582$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder | 77c | 1,550$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Spurs | 78c | 1,500$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Thunder | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 34c | 1,403$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 76c | 1,379$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.02 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 13c | 1,376$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Thunder | 41c | 1,200$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 22c | 1,200$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 52c | 1,191$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.39 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 29c | 1,106$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Thunder | 2c | 1,090$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 76c | 1,053$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.74 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Thunder | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Thunder | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Thunder | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Thunder | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 36c | 999.79$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Thunder | 60c | 999$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Thunder | 12c | 881.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 78c | 853.78$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.25 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 24c | 840$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 6c | 814.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Thunder | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 13c | 800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Thunder | 33c | 749.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Thunder | 6c | 738.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 18c | 706.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Thunder | 39c | 700$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Thunder | 40c | 699.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Spurs | 54c | 669.7$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 75c | 661.71$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.28 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 49c | 636$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.1 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs | 41c | 635$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Thunder | 66c | 626.47$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.98 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Spurs | 37c | 600$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 76c | 586.33$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.79 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…8d2fbacked Thunder | 77c | 550.75$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Thunder | 11c | 542.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 42c | 501.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.28 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Thunder | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Spurs | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 77c | 498.23$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.64 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs | 22c | 454.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.1 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder | 19c | 453.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder | 9c | 443.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 67c | 421.44$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 73c | 408.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Thunder | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Thunder | 56c | 356.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Spurs | 75c | 338.68$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd60…ae98backed Thunder | 77c | 335.83$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…92f1backed Thunder | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Thunder | 55c | 326$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Spurs | 78c | 315.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Thunder | 61c | 303.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 23c | 300.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec6…4558backed Thunder | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Spurs | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder | 75c | 288.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Thunder | 22c | 277.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Thunder | 61c | 269.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Spurs | 80c | 264.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…ddc8backed Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Thunder | 60c | 226$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Thunder | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.