TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Thunder11c16,311$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.2325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs40c15,105$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,122.7948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs49c7,399$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Spurs23c7,282$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,607.2149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59e…a3febacked Thunder76c7,000$5,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,322.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder6c6,382$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs54c6,065$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs25c5,676$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.679725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder62c5,353$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.6264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked Spurs24c4,050$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder75c3,915$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Thunder20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder15c3,396$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder34c3,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.9936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder50c2,811$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.0763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder51c2,793$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.0590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder60c2,613$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.5214338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Thunder46c2,609$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.2830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder48c2,600$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.995971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Thunder65c2,597$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.8223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder60c2,455$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Thunder37c2,129$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.454652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs30c2,117$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.331,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef5…8898backed Spurs24c2,083$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.333852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder80c2,000$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59136453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Thunder18c1,958$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4617042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder29c1,953$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Thunder10c1,847$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1814640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Thunder58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04416050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder71c1,582$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder77c1,550$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Spurs78c1,500$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Thunder1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder34c1,403$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Thunder76c1,379$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.0215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder13c1,376$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Thunder41c1,200$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4913339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs22c1,200$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder52c1,191$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.3969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder29c1,106$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32515246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Thunder2c1,090$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder76c1,053$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.741,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Thunder1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Thunder1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78e…30e3backed Thunder11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Thunder68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.996457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs36c999.79$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.867950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Thunder60c999$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Thunder12c881.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.588027.5%22 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Thunder78c853.78$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.2584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs24c840$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder6c814.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Thunder42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.921770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+63%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder13c800$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Thunder33c749.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24744821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Thunder6c738.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.163237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder18c706.6$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3627245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Thunder39c700$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Thunder40c699.99$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2774959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Spurs54c669.7$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.061861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Thunder75c661.71$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs49c636$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs41c635$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.654330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e6…757abacked Thunder66c626.47$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.988148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Spurs37c600$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3769139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Thunder76c586.33$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.791,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…8d2fbacked Thunder77c550.75$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5381…f932backed Thunder11c542.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs42c501.13$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Thunder15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Spurs23c499.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38514731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder77c498.23$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs22c454.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.15332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder19c453.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder9c443.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder67c421.44$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Thunder73c408.22$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Thunder23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9216251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Thunder56c356.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Spurs75c338.68$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6811242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd60…ae98backed Thunder77c335.83$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc045…92f1backed Thunder6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Thunder55c326$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.574261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed Spurs78c315.56$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Thunder61c303.5$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1447359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs23c300.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Thunder66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-78.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Spurs33c299.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9835531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder75c288.18$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1415648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ff…b09cbacked Thunder22c277.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Thunder61c269.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6420034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Spurs80c264.29$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.868563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Thunder77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd480…ddc8backed Thunder77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fb…2de9backed Thunder77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Thunder60c226$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Thunder9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.