TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,369 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder48c8,855$4,247 inLost-$4,246.6818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Spurs52c8,300$4,316 inWon+$3,98412056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder48c3,077$1,477 inLost-$1,4777445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs52c2,282$1,186 inWon+$1,095.223844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs50c1,205$603 inWon+$602.27950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder50c1,200$600 inLost-$60056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs52c1,000$520 inWon+$4801,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder47c579.53$272 inLost-$272.3850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Thunder48c416.67$200 inLost-$20022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Thunder48c416.25$200 inLost-$199.5917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4555…220cbacked Spurs52c382.97$200 inWon+$182.972429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Spurs53c330.19$175 inWon+$155.193756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Spurs53c299.8$159 inWon+$141.117551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs52c250.1$130 inWon+$120.0560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd021…12b5backed Thunder47c249.22$117 inLost-$117.131060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Spurs52c192.31$100 inWon+$92.3125850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Spurs54c185.19$100 inWon+$85.1914727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs53c183.55$97 inWon+$86.4784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Thunder48c125$60 inLost-$604344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Thunder47c120$56 inLost-$56.436749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Spurs52c98.38$51 inWon+$47.2228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Thunder48c82.75$40 inLost-$39.721,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs54c82.49$44 inWon+$38.0976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs53c69$37 inWon+$32.4326345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Spurs54c59.97$32 inWon+$27.7910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Thunder46c40.19$18 inLost-$18.4924949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…224abacked Spurs54c30.19$16 inWon+$13.892450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7045…f88bbacked Thunder46c27.8$13 inLost-$12.692259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9785…2c5abacked Spurs53c20$11 inWon+$9.44949%24 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.