TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over56c103,496$57,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,584.629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under44c23,888$10,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,510.7242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked Over65c15,672$10,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.311776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c14,014$6,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,042.045,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c9,763$4,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,302.363,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over50c8,683$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,318.7511338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c7,965$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under44c7,543$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over56c6,940$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.634339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over66c5,957$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.5730048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c4,723$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.1133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under44c4,488$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.766350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under44c4,141$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8223040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c3,625$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.252437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c3,326$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.3816647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under45c3,073$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36823549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c3,046$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.881,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c2,983$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.661,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under44c2,706$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.711553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c2,374$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.373,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under35c2,257$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7962924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Over68c2,238$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c2,198$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.172,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under46c2,140$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c1,906$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.7710741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85111855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under37c1,781$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.171,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over50c1,573$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.417440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under39c1,504$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.4682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over61c1,449$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.2211025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over70c1,418$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.035248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c1,315$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under44c1,249$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.498955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under44c1,064$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0616653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over51c1,019$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.119952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c976.43$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.41,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over49c848.25$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.619652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66d4…fe2dbacked Over56c836$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c795.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.111551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under31c621.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.079641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c617.61$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.581,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c551.08$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.311,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under44c520$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under44c520$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c495.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.281,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c494.92$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.711,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under14c476$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6420055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over67c473.95$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under39c437.51$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.677350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over61c426.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.234645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c398$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over68c358.88$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8413833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over54c357.32$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.59651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over65c342.84$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.965954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over55c324.61$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c313.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.842,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under44c312$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under44c312$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under44c280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over68c275.86$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.742263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under36c274$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over54c273.31$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under40c264.2$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8229047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2af3backed Over53c256.82$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Under30c221.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under56c215$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under42c211.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8420059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under41c206$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.427328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9921837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under44c198.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1811858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c188.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.681921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c170$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.532,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Under44c153.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.342458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under44c151.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4517251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c146.88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.42,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.