South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e20c0358842e31058525d296b88862562f4ea1558fdeb16c3d6879ff8a886d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 18c | 3,625$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 3,097$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 22c | 2,830$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.08 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,714$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 32c | 1,973$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.38 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Over | 54c | 1,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 22c | 1,361$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 1,311$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 1,210$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.13 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 1,190$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 1,124$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 862$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 609.32$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 60c | 579.31$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 60c | 526.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 61c | 491.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 38c | 469.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 34c | 467.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 394.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 57c | 324.56$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 76c | 317.47$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 32c | 290.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 79c | 264$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 257.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 46c | 257.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 18c | 225.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Over | 46c | 203.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 171.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 162$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 12c | 159.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 57c | 151.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 56c | 121.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 46c | 118.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 41c | 102.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 66c | 102$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 67c | 89.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Under | 14c | 77.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 73.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 32c | 72.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Under | 64c | 71.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 75c | 67.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 66c | 67.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 64.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Under | 19c | 58.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 58.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 49.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 37c | 49.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Under | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…80bfbacked Over | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 43.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…4cbbbacked Under | 69c | 43.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 69c | 43.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 33c | 36.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 68c | 34.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 45c | 34.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 33.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 29.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 27.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 26.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 68c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 53c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Under | 66c | 22.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 51c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.