TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Coritiba FBC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CR Flamengo46c35,497$16,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,189.1629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed CR Flamengo47c5,745$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.683040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Coritiba FBC48c5,093$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Coritiba FBC53c4,762$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.661,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Coritiba FBC54c3,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Coritiba FBC55c3,134$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.4623549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Coritiba FBC54c2,400$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Coritiba FBC54c2,079$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.461,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed CR Flamengo42c2,024$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Coritiba FBC58c1,725$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.511855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed CR Flamengo50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Coritiba FBC54c1,405$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.543,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Coritiba FBC54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Coritiba FBC54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Coritiba FBC54c1,215$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed CR Flamengo48c1,201$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.312544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Coritiba FBC54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed CR Flamengo64c1,183$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Coritiba FBC50c1,111$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Coritiba FBC54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Coritiba FBC53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Coritiba FBC54c998.11$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.981,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Coritiba FBC54c805.06$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Coritiba FBC54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Coritiba FBC54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed CR Flamengo80c768$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Coritiba FBC58c721$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.182,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Coritiba FBC56c695.64$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7411156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Coritiba FBC6c648.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.193,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed CR Flamengo62c631.83$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.798660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Coritiba FBC54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Coritiba FBC39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Coritiba FBC54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Coritiba FBC54c572.11$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9411551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked CR Flamengo45c546.42$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.938133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CR Flamengo56c537.63$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.232,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Coritiba FBC54c520$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Coritiba FBC54c520$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Coritiba FBC54c519$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.261,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Coritiba FBC54c450.39$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed CR Flamengo72c361.11$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.114645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Coritiba FBC41c359$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.762,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked CR Flamengo73c338.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.343354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Coritiba FBC54c320$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Coritiba FBC54c319.3$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.428955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Coritiba FBC54c312$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Coritiba FBC54c312$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Coritiba FBC54c308.19$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.92,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Coritiba FBC54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Coritiba FBC54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Coritiba FBC54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Coritiba FBC53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.73652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Coritiba FBC50c290$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Coritiba FBC54c280$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Coritiba FBC18c273$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Coritiba FBC54c272.8$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Coritiba FBC54c272.8$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked CR Flamengo64c266$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Coritiba FBC55c227$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.851,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Coritiba FBC54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.84025%10 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Coritiba FBC54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Coritiba FBC54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Coritiba FBC54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Coritiba FBC57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Coritiba FBC30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CR Flamengo77c161.86$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.581,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Coritiba FBC53c160$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.142,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Coritiba FBC22c114$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Coritiba FBC54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Coritiba FBC40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Coritiba FBC39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Coritiba FBC58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Coritiba FBC54c98.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Coritiba FBC50c95.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Coritiba FBC54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Coritiba FBC54c89.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1225866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked Coritiba FBC59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Coritiba FBC54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Coritiba FBC53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.755855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Coritiba FBC57c74.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed CR Flamengo72c72.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Coritiba FBC53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.817951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Coritiba FBC55c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.451,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Coritiba FBC57c49.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2272350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Coritiba FBC46c49.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.915848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Coritiba FBC55c49.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0313050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed CR Flamengo47c47.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Coritiba FBC37c43.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed CR Flamengo71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.254872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Coritiba FBC55c40.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6717255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Coritiba FBC54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Coritiba FBC54c38.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Coritiba FBC54c35.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0338861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Coritiba FBC54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2817960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed CR Flamengo46c29.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Coritiba FBC53c28.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed CR Flamengo43c28.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Coritiba FBC54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5811864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Coritiba FBC54c25.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf82…4c8abacked CR Flamengo48c23.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.