South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1244c6611602a5a5743a7452198c600d6d03f2fd612c5f4d5b8f0b8b0ab5de75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked No | 77c | 1,291$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 976.88$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 74c | 667.52$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.84 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 516.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 52c | 475.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 447.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 48c | 413.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 349.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 19c | 310.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 10c | 303.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 20c | 270.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 47c | 227.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 19c | 223.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 53c | 214.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 55c | 182.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 45c | 115.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 76c | 96.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 69.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Yes | 20c | 58.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 45.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 27c | 43.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 53c | 35.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 46c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked No | 54c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.