South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fcf030a648783216d2fed4062938d6b33e0181d107d92b92543e43d55202e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Coritiba FBC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Coritiba FBC | 5c | 3,625$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed CR Flamengo | 50c | 833$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Coritiba FBC | 52c | 796.17$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed CR Flamengo | 53c | 708.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 594.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CR Flamengo | 39c | 436$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Coritiba FBC | 62c | 240$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Coritiba FBC | 44c | 217.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Coritiba FBC | 49c | 198.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Coritiba FBC | 53c | 197$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Coritiba FBC | 32c | 163.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Coritiba FBC | 9c | 160.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CR Flamengo | 62c | 145.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Coritiba FBC | 47c | 117.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed CR Flamengo | 61c | 94.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Coritiba FBC | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed CR Flamengo | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed CR Flamengo | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Coritiba FBC | 76c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CR Flamengo | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed CR Flamengo | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Coritiba FBC | 68c | 19.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…7aa9backed Coritiba FBC | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.