TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes32c78,700$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+165%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No65c39,380$25,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,952.492,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c31,137$21,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,841.4391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38f…5048backed Yes31c28,452$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,82010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No69c23,639$16,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,251.65947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c17,472$11,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,480.887851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No69c13,092$9,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.474254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes31c11,908$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed No57c8,715$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No77c7,106$5,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.0355845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c6,349$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.253,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes31c6,096$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes12c5,555$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes18c5,449$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes31c5,195$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No70c5,071$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.438540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes32c5,036$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c4,702$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.6981440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No72c4,588$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.491181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes5c3,471$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.541118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c2,689$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.7356849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes31c2,359$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No64c2,238$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.553636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b79…2a1cbacked No61c2,000$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c1,957$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3931849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes31c1,919$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c1,816$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes29c1,809$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.711656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes30c1,650$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5129754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+81.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,499$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked No70c1,220$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No68c1,200$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c1,200$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Yes38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes30c1,008$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.645265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c1,008$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.648254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes27c1,006$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.63860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No64c1,000$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31011657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes31c966.05$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes29c957.16$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Yes20c864.28$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes31c816.13$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes13c805$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes6c800$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c799.95$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.989054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes32c785.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked No66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…3f97backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…878fbacked Yes30c733.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes28c725.89$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.652536%9 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c689.1$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.43278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c646.55$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003010%3 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1928350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes43c595.52$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.071957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2adc…0afabacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No65c586.74$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2212057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes43c550$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes27c541.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.76722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Yes29c540.12$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c534.57$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15311833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c503.57$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9127644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No71c500$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.675328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No73c496.56$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.952138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes29c477.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed Yes23c465$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.95850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No68c460$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.27354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No69c430.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6835944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes31c415$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.655850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed No70c409.31$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes31c406.45$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12812358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes35c399.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked No70c399.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Yes29c399.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No69c378.44$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.325632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes28c375$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed No70c356$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a27…98edbacked Yes31c314.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes15c308.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.