NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b475b1db1813662d1ea8b39a1d290732a87bf3a9528174b2fea9c7a48f6182a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 62c | 87,469$53,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,528.87 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 19,060$11,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,332.99 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 18,147$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,586.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 47c | 17,513$8,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,231.23 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 17,442$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,197.85 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 37c | 13,913$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 13,636$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.14 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 31c | 9,713$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.76 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 21c | 5,225$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.47 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Over | 0c | 5,013$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 37c | 4,966$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.3 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 44c | 4,775$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.91 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 76c | 4,657$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 74c | 3,926$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 3,444$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 3,095$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 42c | 2,672$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.49 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 2,609$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.62 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 2,358$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.56 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 47c | 2,139$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 33c | 2,125$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.51 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 38c | 2,118$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.03 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 2,070$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.62 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 15c | 2,045$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.02 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Under | 52c | 1,934$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 31c | 1,826$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.06 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 31c | 1,581$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.09 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 1,559$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.94 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 39c | 1,543$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.79 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 43c | 1,392$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.65 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 51c | 1,354$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 6c | 1,237$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 1,164$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Over | 58c | 1,051$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 33c | 1,047$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.03 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 60c | 1,005$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 42c | 988.93$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.34 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 58c | 956.9$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 955.97$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 38c | 952.45$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.91 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 58c | 950.24$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 31c | 948.55$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 42c | 948.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 66c | 892.57$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 42c | 887.81$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.93 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 23c | 829.29$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.42 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 800$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Under | 62c | 789.47$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 53c | 744.13$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.53 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 738.42$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.66 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 40c | 707.39$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.53 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 40c | 632.18$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 43c | 581.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.38 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 567.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 545.93$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.51 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 56c | 538.52$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Under | 77c | 500.13$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 41c | 441.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 436.65$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Under | 23c | 427$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 417.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Over | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 401.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 46c | 400$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 39c | 362.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Over | 58c | 360.87$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 31c | 344$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 43c | 311.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed Over | 64c | 296.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 41c | 276$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 59c | 265.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…7c94backed Over | 58c | 257.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Under | 80c | 250.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 32c | 242.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 239.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Over | 63c | 239.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 42c | 234.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Under | 69c | 233.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 230.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 53c | 228.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Under | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.