NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b308850712fded5b587f8f0eaec824cecdb04270878ff0ed30daecceadd863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 9,523$6,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.76 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 42c | 3,600$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,529$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 48c | 2,948$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 52c | 2,824$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.37 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 21c | 2,177$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.85 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 20c | 2,014$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 1,812$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.33 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 52c | 1,700$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 50c | 1,098$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 936.47$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 5c | 880.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 53c | 666$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Over | 52c | 578.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.43 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 48c | 512.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 462.23$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 14c | 454.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 48c | 419.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 21c | 379.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 14c | 337.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 51c | 332.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 48c | 327.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 237.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 49c | 205.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…7183backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 49c | 199.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…8199backed Over | 53c | 189.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 54c | 184.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 184$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 47c | 177.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 172.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 172.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 47c | 172.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 48c | 172$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 44c | 120.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 51c | 119.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 44c | 106.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 99.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 13c | 91.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 47c | 74.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de31backed Under | 28c | 52.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…3e70backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 45c | 45.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Under | 51c | 38.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 36.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 60c | 36.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Over | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…cdc0backed Over | 53c | 32.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 46c | 31.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 53c | 30.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…8f30backed Over | 50c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e652backed Under | 52c | 26.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…a7bdbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 53c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.