NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611444b486e45275ed18ab1c6206f6bc9f15fde753d9f4ae2b964c27dd54c7ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 34c | 52,835$17,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,871.06 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs | 35c | 30,562$10,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,870.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 66c | 29,316$19,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,229.6 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 50c | 22,642$11,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,321.42 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 66c | 15,300$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 36c | 14,080$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,079.75 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 53c | 12,868$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.35 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs | 49c | 12,443$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,345.92 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 65c | 11,968$7,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.9 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 64c | 10,587$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,733.45 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Thunder | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.96 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 65c | 9,513$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.45 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…68f3backed Thunder | 68c | 6,086$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.38 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 44c | 3,666$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Thunder | 50c | 2,988$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.06 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Spurs | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Spurs | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 65c | 2,822$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,603$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.53 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spurs | 39c | 2,416$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.03 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Thunder | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Thunder | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder | 65c | 2,121$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.47 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 65c | 1,921$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.94 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 42c | 1,837$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.41 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Thunder | 65c | 1,786$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.31 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 60c | 1,769$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.33 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 61c | 1,659$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.88 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,586$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.49 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Thunder | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Thunder | 69c | 1,377$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 61c | 1,259$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spurs | 44c | 1,226$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Thunder | 57c | 1,165$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.76 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 34c | 1,095$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Thunder | 65c | 1,095$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 34c | 1,071$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.35 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 46c | 949.35$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 35c | 901.54$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Thunder | 58c | 876.5$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 33c | 811.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.11 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Thunder | 66c | 777$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Thunder | 50c | 775.22$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.61 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Thunder | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 61c | 682.55$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…71f5backed Spurs | 35c | 679.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs | 43c | 611.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.77 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 50c | 596.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 32c | 583.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.56 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Spurs | 47c | 581.91$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Thunder | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 41c | 545.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 66c | 509.73$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 40c | 503.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Spurs | 35c | 502.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.86 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Spurs | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 56c | 494.67$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Thunder | 62c | 485.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Thunder | 53c | 470.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Thunder | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 65c | 454.54$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Spurs | 36c | 419.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 48c | 400$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Thunder | 68c | 336.66$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 34c | 309.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.24 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Thunder | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Spurs | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Thunder | 65c | 235.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Thunder | 66c | 232.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 35c | 210$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spurs | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Spurs | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Thunder | 9c | 199.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Spurs | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 65c | 189.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Thunder | 66c | 188.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Thunder | 58c | 186.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Thunder | 50c | 171.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 63c | 170.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 65c | 161.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Thunder | 65c | 159.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Thunder | 58c | 157$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 50c | 155.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 64c | 154.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Spurs | 56c | 154.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs | 56c | 154.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Thunder | 65c | 152.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Thunder | 65c | 152.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Thunder | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.