TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Thunder73c23,795$17,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,431.7915644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs27c16,667$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,166.679725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder7c8,855$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.8927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs53c7,823$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.128056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Thunder20c7,472$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs26c6,706$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,962.5472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Spurs35c4,080$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.288230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs50c3,865$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.561,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Thunder46c3,822$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.881942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Thunder58c3,419$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs64c2,852$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.071,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Thunder74c2,432$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-51.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Thunder74c2,185$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6176258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs77c2,173$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder19c2,100$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Thunder10c2,055$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4322036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs69c1,954$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder4c1,916$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs42c1,759$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.1255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Thunder65c1,535$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs79c1,423$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder70c1,418$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a7…cb12backed Thunder7c1,386$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Thunder74c1,383$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0294450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs27c1,194$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.812254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs28c1,153$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.4464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Spurs52c1,131$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5435459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder43c1,074$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46063746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder43c1,070$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Thunder46c1,037$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.810650%53 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e6…757abacked Thunder59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.778148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Thunder7c1,005$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71030551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Thunder59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder46c961.34$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder71c899$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…10f8backed Thunder7c800$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Thunder74c791.31$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Spurs77c712.33$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8410958.7%64 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Thunder6c711.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Spurs35c699.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.997349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Thunder6c695.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.737152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs26c599.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9918643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Thunder74c515.3$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder74c504$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Spurs27c460$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder29c456.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.151,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Thunder6c441.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4596…12d5backed Thunder28c425.29$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Spurs33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26835531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs26c369$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0626345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs74c351$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Thunder7c350.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.564719.1%9 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs42c300.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.145332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Thunder17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs78c296.77$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8427245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs74c293.44$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Thunder75c268.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9462…4dbdbacked Thunder6c266.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+381.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs28c252.26$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Thunder7c249.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder74c249.43$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Spurs32c245.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0812324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder66c240.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Spurs26c223.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.087062.9%44 W · 26 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder73c219.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.031,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder50c209.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91b…a78abacked Thunder74c208.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Thunder53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Spurs79c190.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3931345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Thunder16c181.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Thunder68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Thunder9c144.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8640548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Thunder14c138.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Thunder75c132.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1c…fd28backed Thunder77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba2…003dbacked Thunder16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Spurs45c124.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6324948.2%120 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Thunder65c121.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Thunder48c121$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Spurs27c110$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.39655.2%53 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Thunder71c108.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0434169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Thunder46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Spurs37c104.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.983056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0417…9248backed Thunder72c102.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs25c101.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Thunder66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6658754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Thunder74c99.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9712146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs26c96.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6116048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x946c…59cbbacked Spurs57c94.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a48…7bbebacked Spurs27c85.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.19560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Thunder59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Thunder30c66.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…f66cbacked Thunder75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9f…8473backed Spurs27c66.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs50c65.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5132…61a7backed Spurs36c65.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.015761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.