MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddff96a5326c7dc66622857e35eddabb33a229b48dc99cfe795e215652518fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $682,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Houston Astros | 76c | 200,000$152,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 160,604$38,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,544.97 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 35,052$15,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,322.89 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 66c | 33,792$22,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,393.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 31c | 28,234$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,737.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 27,286$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.85 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 14,697$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.4 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 11,353$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.2 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 11,028$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.08 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 10,294$5,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 9,491$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 9,118$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,197.31 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 45c | 8,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 78c | 7,121$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Texas Rangers | 2c | 7,013$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 6,334$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 6,073$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 5,823$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 5,750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 46c | 5,739$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.27 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Texas Rangers | 0c | 5,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 5,072$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 4,646$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.65 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 4,527$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 4,372$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 3,879$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Houston Astros | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 2,997$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,914$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.28 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,823$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,576$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.07 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 2,493$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.8 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 2,200$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.02 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,056$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.24 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,041$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,923$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,599$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…dd8cbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,598$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,534$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.86 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,501$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Houston Astros | 76c | 1,499$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,499$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.65 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 1,467$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 1,376$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,230$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.74 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 1,214$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,123$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.02 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,111$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.3 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 1,091$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 1,021$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,003$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.48 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…846fbacked Texas Rangers | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Houston Astros | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 999.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 948.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.61 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 846.92$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.04 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 846.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 794.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 754.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Texas Rangers | 3c | 657.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Houston Astros | 43c | 649.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 622.36$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.52 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 71c | 611.87$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Houston Astros | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 597$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 27c | 581.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 579.93$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers | 5c | 560.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 540.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston Astros | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 497.5$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Texas Rangers | 5c | 484.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 473.68$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Houston Astros | 78c | 469.05$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 468.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 452.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 439.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.