NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0774e6b9f8ed42135c7603e6a90d859baa9bc31bbfb51b3ddbbd8736b2b4f8

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,100 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Thunder	72c	34,673$25,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,646.44	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	27c	16,413$4,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,483.86	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs	28c	9,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Thunder	78c	5,669$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.85	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	68cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf70b…5166backed Thunder	74c	4,054$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.05	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	78c	3,868$3,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.87	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder	74c	3,757$2,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.52	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Spurs	9c	3,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs	27c	3,125$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.99	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Spurs	23c	3,083$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.01	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs	28c	3,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs	26c	2,842$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.88	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Spurs	25c	2,119$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.64	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs	28c	2,104$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder	71c	1,987$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.63	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs	28c	1,500$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.99	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Thunder	72c	1,489$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.57	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs	22c	1,450$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.97	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder	73c	1,360$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.2	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs	27c	1,120$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.38	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0c…3a96backed Spurs	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Spurs	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs	28c	999$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.72	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Spurs	32c	937.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs	25c	853.69$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.84	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44b3…4791backed Spurs	28c	719.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+153.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs	26c	714.96$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.44	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder	75c	704$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs	17c	636.07$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.35	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs	27c	629.63$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Spurs	24c	612.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs	13c	600.8$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472e…812bbacked Spurs	16c	589.93$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.54	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder	73c	499.99$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Spurs	26c	499.91$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.98	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs	26c	469.68$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.97	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs	5c	450.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs	29c	432$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.28	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Spurs	28c	430.86$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.64	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Spurs	24c	406.33$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.52	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Spurs	27c	388.92$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.7	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs	21c	372.77$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.39	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked Spurs	30c	370.71$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Spurs	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Spurs	28c	354.96$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.39	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Spurs	23c	343.69$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Spurs	24c	340$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d38…f0c7backed Thunder	75c	321$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs	28c	306$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.68	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs	24c	297.76$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.53	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Thunder	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	178	48.3%86 W · 92 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Thunder	69c	253.59$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.61	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Thunder	76c	237.96$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.11	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Spurs	16c	225.59$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs	26c	211.24$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.56	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Spurs	27c	199.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	479	49.7%238 W · 241 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14f…8581backed Spurs	24c	170.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Spurs	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Spurs	31c	162.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs	25c	158.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder	73c	147$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.69	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Thunder	74c	128.22$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.34	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b1…cf50backed Thunder	74c	127.73$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder	74c	123.15$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	199	59.3%118 W · 81 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Spurs	25c	121.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	247	31.2%77 W · 170 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Spurs	27c	120$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Spurs	28c	117.86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Thunder	75c	116.5$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	473	54.8%259 W · 214 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6b…f517backed Thunder	78c	115.6$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.11	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcb…95afbacked Thunder	78c	112.88$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33b…2372backed Spurs	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ead…0b4dbacked Spurs	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs	23c	102.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.19	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc020…5edbbacked Spurs	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Thunder	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Spurs	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder	72c	99.99$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Thunder	76c	96.8$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	13c	95.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.79	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed Spurs	28c	94.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder	73c	93.85$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.34	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc0…64f7backed Spurs	27c	92.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Spurs	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-8.7wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xccca…3b2bbacked Spurs	25c	91.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e4…53bbbacked Thunder	73c	82.19$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Spurs	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	519	46.8%243 W · 276 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Thunder	78c	73$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.19per pick	73cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Thunder	73c	68.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Thunder	76c	66.71$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Thunder	73c	62.58$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.9	157	59.2%93 W · 64 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Spurs	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	161	46.6%75 W · 86 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe200…c5eabacked Spurs	27c	59.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Thunder	75c	58.25$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder	74c	56.58$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Thunder	75c	53.74$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.43	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Spurs	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	135	39.3%53 W · 82 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event