TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,638 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c6,921$3,461 inLost-$3,460.7432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c4,760$2,380 inWon+$2,380.0820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon+$7509628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,366$683 inWon+$683.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c658.76$327 inLost-$326.791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Under50c300$150 inLost-$15016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Over52c210$108 inWon+$101.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c208.02$104 inLost-$103.8784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over51c204.15$104 inWon+$99.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…421cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon+$96.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost-$5040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost-$5021338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over50c91.06$46 inWon+$45.5315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under50c80.37$40 inLost-$405347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c78.9$40 inWon+$38.931,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c77.64$37 inWon+$40.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over53c55.64$29 inWon+$26.1515650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over62c50.06$31 inWon+$19.095251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c45$21 inLost-$21.1555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Under50c44.88$22 inLost-$22.4442740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Over51c31.37$16 inWon+$15.3731748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Under49c28.57$14 inLost-$1440853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Under50c28$14 inLost-$142650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under50c26$13 inLost-$132152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…31bbbacked Over50c20$10 inWon+$103100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.