NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffb694c133216443c682584c7f4a402020498a6b0a374a4e32a9f0fd682d3a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 48c | 131,680$63,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,498.7 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 52c | 94,159$48,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,861.4 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 52c | 93,742$48,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,757.56 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Thunder | 48c | 54,975$26,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,586.75 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 47c | 43,292$20,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,944.81 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder | 47c | 43,055$20,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,819.17 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spurs | 53c | 34,344$18,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,202.32 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 47c | 17,339$8,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,189.84 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 53c | 17,312$9,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,175.58 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 48c | 15,555$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.56 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 53c | 14,277$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ac…3504backed Spurs | 51c | 8,823$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs | 51c | 8,567$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.9 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…0d97backed Thunder | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Spurs | 51c | 8,038$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Spurs | 51c | 7,000$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 52c | 6,641$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.46 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Thunder | 48c | 6,215$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.74 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 46c | 6,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.42 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 53c | 4,842$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.29 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 53c | 4,839$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.7 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Spurs | 53c | 3,999$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.23 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder | 48c | 3,888$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.76 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 48c | 3,570$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.85 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Spurs | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Spurs | 53c | 3,100$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Spurs | 53c | 3,037$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Thunder | 47c | 2,979$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Spurs | 52c | 2,860$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.06 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Spurs | 51c | 2,729$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Thunder | 48c | 2,617$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…ca2cbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Thunder | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.17 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 53c | 1,923$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.68 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…a11bbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 53c | 1,849$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.21 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…3007backed Spurs | 53c | 1,809$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 57c | 1,776$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.57 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 48c | 1,741$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.61 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Spurs | 52c | 1,704$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 30c | 1,663$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 33c | 1,408$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.49 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,358$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Thunder | 48c | 1,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.9 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Spurs | 52c | 1,194$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.11 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Thunder | 48c | 1,131$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 30c | 1,090$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Spurs | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Spurs | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,071$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.22 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Thunder | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Spurs | 53c | 961.54$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.62 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…5228backed Spurs | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Spurs | 53c | 932.09$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Thunder | 48c | 920.83$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fd28backed Spurs | 53c | 742.21$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 17c | 735.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 51c | 699.96$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.84 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 52c | 693$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Thunder | 48c | 677.04$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Spurs | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 11c | 644.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Spurs | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Spurs | 50c | 597.31$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Spurs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Spurs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Thunder | 48c | 531$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Thunder | 62c | 481.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Thunder | 39c | 477.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Spurs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs | 54c | 457.56$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Thunder | 49c | 448.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 48c | 447$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.39 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Thunder | 46c | 432.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs | 53c | 429.17$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Spurs | 46c | 426.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d5…8863backed Spurs | 26c | 421$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Spurs | 52c | 417$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Thunder | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 48c | 400.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…eb2cbacked Spurs | 53c | 386.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Spurs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Spurs | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Spurs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…ae24backed Thunder | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Thunder | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Thunder | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Thunder | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Thunder | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.