TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes44c127,834$56,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,986.941060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes46c113,680$52,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,257.639649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No55c55,784$30,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,623.443351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No55c31,840$17,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,420.9313553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No56c27,000$15,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,1201662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c16,819$8,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,745.711,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c14,850$8,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,188.3197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c13,056$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,166.551,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No22c9,517$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.411,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes75c9,196$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.8498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c9,027$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c7,188$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620.113,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c7,086$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.5271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c6,644$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.4368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No56c5,730$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.1423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No21c5,646$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.8299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c5,325$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.4677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…4879backed No54c4,751$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No55c4,533$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No54c3,345$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.032835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No55c2,723$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4941643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No16c2,655$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3714761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No54c2,554$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.9218655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c2,315$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No25c2,124$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.874126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c2,028$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.5153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No54c1,819$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No55c1,696$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.494959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+90.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7568547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c23…91debacked No54c1,001$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No55c937$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No55c871.55$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No55c867.14$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No53c849.05$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No16c830.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.259357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37812661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed No40c637$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No47c594.61$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No54c592$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6811055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked No7c578.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No54c506.44$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9810655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.810043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No33c400.97$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.573759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes64c324.22$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.210273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No9c322.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No54c320.48$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No54c300.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No54c284.89$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.846851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked No54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No56c272.9$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.62965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No32c272.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes76c263.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No40c259.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.745664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes46c245.01$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No55c240.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No37c229.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3420252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes77c228.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes74c224.37$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.844924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No54c212.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No26c211.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2720849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No26c208.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.112343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c193.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c183$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.551,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No54c178.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No54c178.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5210755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked No55c176.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No54c156$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No54c156$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c152$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes66c151.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.711258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No19c143.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0322946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes76c143.25$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes65c140.15$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.052259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae43…f595backed Yes72c138.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No27c133.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes60c131.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.325851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.