Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06ce7896240e426caedbdf44f5f2ba6f580dc68d878002e98452c41b927c6d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,270$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 4c | 909.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 6c | 835.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 439$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 6c | 372.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked No | 79c | 366$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…4dfdbacked Yes | 13c | 246.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +104%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 13c | 236.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 69c | 215.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 13c | 209.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 79c | 206$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 199.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 176.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 162.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 162.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 33c | 161.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 161.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 161.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 157.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 138.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 133.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 32c | 117.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 35c | 58.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 58.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 55.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 67c | 44.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 70c | 42.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 41.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524e…51cebacked Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 36.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 68c | 25.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…43e4backed No | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…4af0backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…3888backed No | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…e577backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…c4f5backed No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e27…ecfabacked No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.