Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb83df8ea773e1f6693320c4ee94f28ab3fbe10d270d695b6e0f76d03cabeed4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,149$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.22 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 73c | 1,445$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 24c | 1,336$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.2 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 1,192$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.26 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,098$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 12c | 1,050$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 16c | 602.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 453$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 34c | 422.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 28c | 416.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 21c | 365.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…efacbacked Yes | 10c | 323.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 72c | 313$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 56c | 307.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 11c | 266.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 27c | 260$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 255.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 10c | 253$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 34c | 251$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 248$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes | 9c | 224.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 8c | 218.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 47c | 218.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 217.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 23c | 216.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…3074backed Yes | 59c | 209.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…d3abbacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 10c | 192$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 77c | 191.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 47c | 185.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…ec2cbacked Yes | 25c | 179.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 10c | 160.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 16c | 152.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 35c | 128$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 63c | 121.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 77c | 111.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 12c | 109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 11c | 107.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 69c | 101.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 74c | 92.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 30c | 89.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a043backed Yes | 26c | 87.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 86.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 69.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…5864backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1d…0eacbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…ceecbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 76c | 45.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 28c | 43.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked No | 70c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 42c | 42.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…ef99backed Yes | 77c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 32.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…0f6ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 42c | 28.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 74c | 25.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 41c | 25.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…3b18backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…c0aebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…b9cdbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 72c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
- Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.