Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb083247bc0525ae99c364b72394f3cd8e8d15bd4ed7ce08bd71079bba2bda6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 10c | 10,532$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 72c | 2,709$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.02 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 23c | 1,928$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.49 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 1,687$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 7c | 1,012$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 27c | 954.64$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 10c | 897.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 24c | 815.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 74c | 495.76$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 445.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 423.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 11c | 423.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 23c | 396.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 38c | 351.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 35c | 346.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 5c | 344$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…f1dbbacked Yes | 61c | 320.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 320.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 68c | 315$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 310$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 60c | 307.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 28c | 278.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 70c | 245.01$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 58c | 242.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 22c | 227.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…3074backed Yes | 37c | 221.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 75c | 210.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 52c | 206.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 34c | 204.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 8c | 199.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 54c | 176.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 11c | 171.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 37c | 159.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 14c | 137.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 16c | 134.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 104.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 25c | 99.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fc…469dbacked Yes | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 20c | 93.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a043backed No | 26c | 91.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 76c | 88.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 26c | 87.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…5d20backed Yes | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 27c | 72.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…0113backed No | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 78c | 62.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 62.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 26c | 60.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d6edbacked Yes | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 18c | 59.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 27c | 52.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes | 24c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 72c | 45.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 23c | 45.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 40.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…4652backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked No | 32c | 36.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…4811backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 73c | 24.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 19.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…4a46backed Yes | 73c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c13…bceebacked No | 78c | 13.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.