Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a0b0958fcbb016144da78527eb09554014179ef14caa89e3e7f66e112618ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 14,658$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,272.82 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 8,413$5,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.54 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 7,087$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.94 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.7 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 64c | 3,908$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.49 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 3,245$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 35c | 3,100$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.95 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked No | 74c | 2,951$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 2,920$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.52 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 2,811$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.38 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed No | 1c | 1,877$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…339cbacked No | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 1,779$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 62c | 1,617$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.54 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 38c | 1,548$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.75 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 64c | 1,538$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.24 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked No | 13c | 1,534$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 18cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked No | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 34c | 1,307$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.87 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 39c | 1,279$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.19 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 63c | 1,170$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.09 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,149$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.33 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 1,102$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.09 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 1c | 1,043$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed No | 62c | 999.9$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 36c | 921.36$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.67 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 6c | 887.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.83 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 61c | 799.96$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 769.94$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 758.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…25c4backed No | 11c | 695.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 617.79$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed No | 62c | 599.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked No | 62c | 574.17$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 62c | 560.47$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.46 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…528dbacked No | 62c | 509.68$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed No | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked No | 62c | 499.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 64c | 498.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.85 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 32c | 458.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…0dfcbacked Yes | 39c | 441.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yes | 39c | 435.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 423.89$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked No | 5c | 395.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…50c8backed Yes | 45c | 393.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…c6f3backed Yes | 39c | 391.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 57c | 380.18$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 61c | 345.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 38c | 308$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 62c | 299.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 61c | 299.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…3255backed No | 62c | 298.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked No | 62c | 289.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…e566backed No | 66c | 287.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 65c | 286$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…40b4backed Yes | 36c | 279.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…72ccbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked No | 63c | 277.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 271.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…d6abbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Yes | 39c | 270$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed No | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…73fabacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…f24bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…68fbbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…4897backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…c624backed No | 62c | 250.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…af57backed No | 62c | 250.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 64c | 248$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 36c | 239.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Yes | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 36c | 234$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 36c | 220$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 207$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 61c | 205$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 203.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 203.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 203.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…e8d3backed No | 63c | 201.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. Norway?No won
- Norway vs. England: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.