Fifa International · resolved market
England to score first vs. Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074ce5163e8590fdf5615ee0c9df73619e1e777a966b973c3055caf06281ec88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x130c…6eaebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 58c | 12,287$7,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.46 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d39…b258backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 9,825$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.92 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 3,745$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 3,427$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.98 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 3,007$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 58c | 2,156$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.19 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 60c | 1,534$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…2648backed Yes | 59c | 1,163$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 1,021$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…44bbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 41c | 974.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.34 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed Yes | 57c | 955.97$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.9 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 42c | 858.32$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.28 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…5b56backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 41c | 817.28$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.83 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 758.96$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.63 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Yes | 12c | 727.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 710.75$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 39c | 664.31$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.47 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…c27dbacked Yes | 58c | 610.34$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 42c | 563.89$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 42c | 525.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 42c | 516.04$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.3 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 18cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 423.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 42c | 380$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 365.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…f522backed Yes | 58c | 348.55$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…528dbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…be32backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…49dabacked Yes | 59c | 286.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 58c | 256$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 58c | 255.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Yes | 57c | 253.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 59c | 250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 58c | 249.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Yes | 12c | 238.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 41c | 234$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 41c | 228$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.58 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 227.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0ddfbacked Yes | 58c | 225.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…9b53backed Yes | 58c | 222.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 218.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 31c | 212.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked Yes | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…bed6backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 35c | 199$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…0877backed Yes | 65c | 197$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 43c | 195.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 57c | 193.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 42c | 183.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 42c | 179.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 41c | 172.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…39e4backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…9fa4backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…dab3backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…163ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…e097backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 42c | 161.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…cedabacked Yes | 62c | 151.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…1c81backed Yes | 61c | 114.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 39c | 114.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 104.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…d0d9backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to score first vs. Norway?this page
- Norway to score first vs. England?Yes won
- Norway vs. England: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.