Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe95ea33a56a23322dea221d892871e8afe90ef6fe83a0cd7bc74ad79f2b24c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 30,011$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 5c | 9,037$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.87 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,989$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 6c | 3,186$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 6c | 2,971$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,904$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 2,399$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,120$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes | 11c | 1,819$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 6c | 1,785$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,760$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…f24bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 6c | 1,450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…d40cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,332$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc892…aaf1backed Yes | 8c | 1,262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…005abacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…03ecbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 7c | 678.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 7c | 673$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…6794backed Yes | 10c | 590.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…1370backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 6c | 561.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 6c | 350.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…de5cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…36d5backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…4dfbbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…c820backed Yes | 6c | 294.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…7dd4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…9cdebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…3614backed Yes | 6c | 283.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…d67fbacked Yes | 8c | 250.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 6c | 241.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 7c | 239.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 7c | 226.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 7c | 226.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes | 6c | 188.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…1990backed Yes | 6c | 187.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: Neither team to score first?this page
- England to score first vs. Norway?No won
- Norway to score first vs. England?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.