TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x564f…7026backed Yes20c4,871$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.3936945.3%167 W · 202 L+29.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes30c777.08$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.798047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes47c696.44$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.426154.1%33 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No75c680.38$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9316418.9%31 W · 133 L-21.7wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x771a…6be6backed No70c619.97$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes26c559.47$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.89632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27e2…01f2backed Yes47c550$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No66c524.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.357448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes35c504.61$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.776726.9%18 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No77c482.45$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.225733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No54c425.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.975012%6 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c394.73$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.536145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes32c361.28$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8729430.6%90 W · 204 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No52c355$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.777943%34 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4906…7e10backed Yes28c345.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.762630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No73c328.18$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.755440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes47c321.74$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.719543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No74c314.47$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.175848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No65c298.8$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.838547.1%40 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No69c297.03$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2919432%62 W · 132 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfd…ccc8backed Yes30c290.6$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…a399backed Yes24c286.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No74c260$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.68741.4%36 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed No76c219.81$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No71c217.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.744946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No70c205.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2647938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8245738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No54c194.14$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.917041.4%29 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No68c191.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.391020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No75c175$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.93046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…ab54backed Yes51c171.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.662540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.86462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed Yes27c136.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No51c130.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No72c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Yes34c122.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb1…0787backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+268.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412533.6%42 W · 83 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No77c104$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.929525.3%24 W · 71 L-13.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x126e…c360backed Yes17c100.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.294420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No72c98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.442832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes31c97.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4422019.5%43 W · 177 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fea…cf80backed No70c96.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2191…628ebacked Yes28c88.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes29c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9314423.6%34 W · 110 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe474…018dbacked Yes30c77.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51a…67aabacked Yes54c77.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1028…1316backed Yes30c76.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes64c72.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.231435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes34c71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes32c67.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes44c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.165655.4%31 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No55c62.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.092744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8844…b7e5backed Yes27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec47…0c22backed Yes34c51.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147223.6%17 W · 55 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0799backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No57c45.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7119818.7%37 W · 161 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes30c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No74c44.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.817538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No74c43.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255026%13 W · 37 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-59.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes29c42.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4515047.3%71 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes34c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No76c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.088150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No65c41.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.382445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No61c40.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8172935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.428826.7%77 W · 211 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cc…3097backed Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-76.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c90…17efbacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2df6…fbe2backed Yes44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b9…d361backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…5630backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a91…3428backed Yes44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d1f0backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5844…5bd4backed No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c90…2444backed Yes61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-51.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed Yes39c37.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.483348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes33c36.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No76c33.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.163452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No76c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9217824.2%43 W · 135 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes33c31.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.633545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.25843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7f…6413backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes64c27.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34db…2e01backed Yes64c27.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.