AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cde3eb2fec95a30617d74acb886ef31c8143c729159fe1fb75c9cc5590b556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 16c | 2,995$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 7c | 944.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 79c | 660.32$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 542.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 13c | 491.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 14c | 332.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 8c | 332.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 19c | 272.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 8c | 259.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 213$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…c837backed No | 74c | 209.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed Yes | 15c | 176.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 13c | 176.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 174.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 28c | 89.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…b7e5backed Yes | 14c | 78.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 21c | 72.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 53.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 43.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.