TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d72…a399backed Yes46c2,926$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes55c2,118$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.346154.1%33 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes41c1,863$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.4836945.3%167 W · 202 L+29.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbfd…ccc8backed Yes53c921.2$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e2…01f2backed No51c550$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes47c540.94$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.096726.9%18 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No69c524.12$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7316418.9%31 W · 133 L-21.7wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No50c484.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.735012%6 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes24c475$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.59632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes27c460.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.058047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No32c441.95$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.668942.7%38 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No41c397.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.636145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No43c360$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.358741.4%36 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No71c333.2$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2447938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No57c328.18$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.025440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f7…c837backed Yes26c325.03$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No46c303.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.449543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No50c299.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8919432%62 W · 132 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No67c298.8$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.38547.1%40 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes32c287.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No61c285.51$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.527041.4%29 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes52c282.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.815733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes48c250$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b9…d361backed No77c240$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes69c225.64$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No59c217.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.614946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes18c214$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.481952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11645738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828435.7%30 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No65c198$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.357943%34 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No74c190$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.37529.3%22 W · 53 L-11.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No56c190$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.917448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4906…7e10backed Yes30c173.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.352630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes42c170$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…ab54backed No51c155.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.072540%10 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No49c154.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.989525.3%24 W · 71 L-13.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes75c151$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126e…c360backed No27c150.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.444420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No75c142$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.54831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No54c140.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.329430.6%90 W · 204 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8673…4025backed Yes35c140.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.577135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed No41c140$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cac…513cbacked Yes48c137.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No57c135$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.356448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No48c129.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8922019.5%43 W · 177 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No48c122.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.435843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes70c121.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9732228.9%93 W · 229 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed Yes24c112.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.128433.3%28 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.126040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No62c107.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.46647%31 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick38cpaid+149.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No27c103.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.336439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.083348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No46c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.448123.5%19 W · 62 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No39c79.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.163452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No15c75.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.465211.5%6 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58bb…a539backed No74c75.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48c…5506backed No41c64.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+103.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No32c63.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1589317.1%153 W · 740 L-144.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x05f7…22bcbacked Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f43…f942backed Yes61c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8844…b7e5backed Yes25c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No46c48.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.515026%13 W · 37 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-59.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No43c48.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9914423.6%34 W · 110 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked Yes42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed No67c45.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46cc…3097backed No46c44.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-76.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No73c43.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.032832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c19…8431backed Yes52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.628826.7%77 W · 211 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd322…8503backed No64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd1…1da0backed No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea34…5630backed No73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51bb…df40backed No68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3372935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e9…441abacked Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5844…5bd4backed Yes62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.45162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdba1…d0e5backed No46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-51.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa834…1c25backed No43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1740%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed No74c36.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.313545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No57c34.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410126.7%27 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No42c33.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes34c30.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed No54c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No37c27.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1719818.7%37 W · 161 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba0…181abacked Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1946…6367backed No67c19.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No79c15.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.336656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No71c14.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.