TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Pedro Porro: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,967 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5eb…9120backed No55c4,545$2,491 inLost-$2,490.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes43c1,606$698 inWon+$908.261,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes45c1,500$675 inWon+$8258151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes62c817.67$505 inWon+$312.33271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4940…8204backed Yes46c800$368 inWon+$4321338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes45c500$225 inWon+$27519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes45c500$225 inWon+$2759552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Yes45c481.63$217 inWon+$264.92853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed Yes44c294.09$128 inWon+$165.79078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes46c250$115 inWon+$13541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon+$122.224032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Yes45c210$95 inWon+$115.59351.6%48 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes44c130$57 inWon+$72.847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes45c100$45 inWon+$556033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes44c65.56$29 inWon+$36.711,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon+$24.4429645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fa…8755backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon+$24.443333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Yes45c34$15 inWon+$18.75040%20 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No59c33.89$20 inLost-$2066932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked Yes46c21.91$10 inWon+$11.838858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Yes54c20.46$11 inWon+$9.4619042.6%81 W · 109 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.