TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Dani Olmo: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a90…7bf8backed No50c700$350 inWon+$3505651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes50c700$350 inLost-$3509830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed No55c363.53$200 inWon+$163.532748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+728.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost-$1004032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No53c165.98$88 inWon+$78.013,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes33c140.49$47 inLost-$46.5511834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No52c99.98$51 inWon+$48.492,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost-$3029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes48c50$24 inLost-$2419958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes49c41.82$20 inLost-$20.497951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No54c26.97$15 inWon+$12.391,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Yes47c26.04$12 inLost-$12.2414148.2%68 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec64…c9ccbacked Yes47c21.43$10 inLost-$10.074450%22 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.