TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7820…5723backed Yes20c21,310$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26350%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes9c19,745$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.078932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes13c15,050$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes17c6,953$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.651,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c2…6995backed Yes14c3,542$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No80c2,943$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.869078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes14c1,793$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed No80c1,639$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.212763%17 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes12c1,479$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.481,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c1,024$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No80c975$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes17c900.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.044528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes15c898.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.183,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes20c850$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes16c840.8$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.013,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes17c754.01$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.913,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes19c739.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.221,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711d…c1afbacked Yes17c735.29$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes11c596.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.648930.3%27 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb09…ee0dbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes19c501$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.191565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes18c450.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Yes5c421.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked Yes17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6812252.5%64 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes20c353.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes21c297.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8715325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes20c288.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7729813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Yes19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35223.1%12 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d5…559ebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011925.2%30 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes16c209.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.544327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x178d…797bbacked Yes20c193.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.652213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x087a…bb87backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013930.9%43 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Yes20c172.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6475…8028backed Yes16c171.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.924124.4%10 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.418918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a7…c8b3backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2e…7639backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f84…b78cbacked Yes13c131.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510329.1%30 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes16c121.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes20c120.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes17c119.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe672…82cfbacked Yes18c113.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a4…2966backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03f…c592backed Yes18c110.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Yes10c108.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.985512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6833…2011backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205538.2%21 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2157…6cd7backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8222…17d2backed Yes21c89.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3a…9c1ebacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…1c11backed Yes21c84.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.926637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d02…bb89backed Yes17c84.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.338045%36 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158821.6%19 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…b828backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked Yes20c83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7c61…9603backed Yes22c81.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x680a…96e1backed Yes13c77.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0f…705ebacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8563…3cbabacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6dc5…84c1backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+282.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2a…58d1backed Yes20c73.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…4e57backed Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab3…517cbacked Yes17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes21c58.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.397610.5%8 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…e388backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90f…0088backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdec…6bd7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3512…12b7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd996…0367backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018764.7%121 W · 66 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf35b…87cbbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe57…fdf6backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf55…7db7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No77c19.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.862,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.