TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under43c6,991$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.582085%17 W · 3 L+7.1wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+82.5%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under46c5,332$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.881,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.981,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under47c4,047$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.751,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over54c2,726$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47210046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,664$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.272,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over52c2,661$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.911,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over54c2,640$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.5911938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over57c2,244$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.051,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under48c1,949$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.7944451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over52c1,755$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.5824650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Over54c1,553$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.437549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under48c1,485$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.171,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over54c1,455$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.519752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Over53c1,358$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.4411538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over53c1,023$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.422142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over56c1,002$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over52c952.58$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.3414732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked Over54c911.44$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over55c805$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.082832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Over54c754.41$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Over53c717.25$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.1411446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over53c677.55$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.124535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over52c623.94$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4511943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34850848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f4…567dbacked Under48c542.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.063461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over51c533.08$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8724643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855334%18 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c2…5b5fbacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3661…2000backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28570%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…c069backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ea0…9838backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4498…473dbacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over53c499.97$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9841343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over52c410.99$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.312,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over54c401.48$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.821440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over57c390.58$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.632326.1%6 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over35c390.26$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Over50c372$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3815146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under46c346.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.220154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Over58c320.53$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4932755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Over51c289.8$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.825143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Under52c253.78$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over52c239.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5520546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over54c225$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0522748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7720546.3%95 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6822452.7%118 W · 106 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Under48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.812446.8%58 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over63c179.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.341,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under44c171$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.457653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over52c159.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0415748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over52c143.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5834834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over53c132.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.625342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c126.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5232053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under46c111.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.092,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Under45c108$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.311392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+73.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over52c107.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over72c106.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7715956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011854.2%64 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Over53c84.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.635133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Under48c82.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5632050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under26c77.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1557222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under67c76.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.472,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under55c73.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0918640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over55c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0524445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4438257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over55c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.437650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8526856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under47c39.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.692,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over60c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.619553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Under47c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.58657%49 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Under47c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.491957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2549451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5979345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over52c27.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1139555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed Over50c25.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under45c24.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.393,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under55c19.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.731,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Over54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over54c18.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.096654.5%36 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.